Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.079736 0.092882 0.107442 0.124752 0.144764 0.167164 0.194134
2024-10-06 0.061769 0.079703 0.101583 0.130197 0.166594 0.211309 0.270388
2024-10-13 0.050172 0.070258 0.096726 0.134061 0.185273 0.252963 0.349149
2024-10-20 0.039918 0.059895 0.087987 0.130211 0.191901 0.278561 0.409367
2024-10-27 0.032611 0.051976 0.080791 0.126559 0.197182 0.301744 0.467996
2024-11-03 0.028618 0.048118 0.078624 0.129495 0.211859 0.339555 0.552041
2024-11-10 0.026052 0.045981 0.078602 0.135446 0.231552 0.386851 0.656026
2024-11-17 0.023423 0.043254 0.077112 0.138575 0.246744 0.428356 0.755215
2024-11-24 0.020817 0.040120 0.074413 0.139107 0.257333 0.463075 0.846631
2024-12-01 0.018476 0.037082 0.071407 0.138559 0.265719 0.494611 0.935687
2024-12-08 0.016343 0.034099 0.068055 0.136831 0.271551 0.521952 1.019868
2024-12-15 0.015229 0.032945 0.067979 0.141266 0.289399 0.573029 1.153633
2024-12-22 0.014194 0.031839 0.067924 0.145880 0.308461 0.629096 1.304672
2024-12-29 0.013307 0.030920 0.068125 0.151049 0.329298 0.690994 1.474556
2025-01-05 0.012415 0.029850 0.067860 0.155176 0.348436 0.751534 1.648509
2025-01-12 0.010936 0.027219 0.063863 0.150646 0.348457 0.772605 1.742129
2025-01-19 0.009672 0.024895 0.060228 0.146411 0.348528 0.793627 1.837766
2025-01-26 0.009064 0.024072 0.059920 0.149788 0.366181 0.854640 2.028301
2025-02-02 0.008721 0.023860 0.061022 0.156641 0.392711 0.938190 2.278904
2025-02-09 0.008214 0.023146 0.060808 0.160244 0.411896 1.006972 2.502701
2025-02-16 0.007595 0.022041 0.059470 0.160857 0.423817 1.060021 2.694906
2025-02-23 0.006977 0.020844 0.057738 0.160225 0.432524 1.106275 2.875610
2025-03-02 0.006361 0.019557 0.055598 0.158236 0.437491 1.143884 3.038926